We've broken the PDL and swept external liquidity — and that's exactly the setup a reversal needs. I'm looking to be bullish and see NQ trade back up toward the midnight opening price. The trigger: an inversion of the 1H SIBI. But this is conditional — if price just continues lower from here, I'm not participating. Posted before the open, judged after.
BULLISH — CONDITIONALNQ FuturesJuly 16, 2026 · Pre-MarketDraw: Back to MidnightTrigger: 1H SIBI Inversion
The Read In 30 Seconds
Bias
Bullish — looking for a reversal back up toward the midnight opening price
The fuel
PDL broken + external liquidity swept (Low of the Week) — the sweep that enables the reversal
The trigger
Inversion of the 1H SIBI — turn it from resistance to support and higher prices are on
No-participation
If price just continues lower from here, the idea's invalid and I stay out
1DDaily — Breaking PDL, Watch for the ReversalClick chart for full resolution
Price is breaking the PDL. That's the decision point on the daily: either it presses lower with strength, or it sweeps that sell-side and reverses. I'm leaning reversal — a break of PDL that grabs liquidity and turns is exactly the kind of move that starts a leg back up. But it has to prove it; a clean continuation lower keeps me on the sidelines.
4H4H — Expansion, External Liquidity TakenClick chart for full resolution
The APD sequence here is Expansion → Consolidation → Expansion, and we're in the expansion right now — we've just taken out external liquidity (the Low of the Week / PDL area). That matters: once external liquidity is swept, the fuel for a move the other direction is on the table. The sweep is what makes today's bullish idea possible.
1H1H — The Signal: Inverse the SIBIClick chart for full resolution
This is the trigger I'm watching. We've got a 1H SIBI sitting here after the sweep. If price inverts it — turns that SIBI from resistance into support — we can start to see higher prices back toward the midnight opening price. The inversion is the confirmation. No inversion, no long.
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